Among the three parties, claimed Lim, it would be PAS which was likely to suffer the most in the 14th General Election in such circumstances. “With a loss of 30 per cent of non-Muslim votes, PAS will lose the seven parliament and 29 state seats it won in the 13GE in 2013.”
Lim has worked out the emerging scenario.
In Johor, PAS will lose all four state seats, namely Sungai Abong, Maharani, Parit Yaani and Puteri Wangsa.
In Perak, it will lose all the five state seats, namely Titi Serong, Gunong Semanggol, Selinsing, Changkat Jering and Sungai Rapat (Perak).
In Malacca, it will lose its sole State Assembly seat of Bukit Baru.
In Selangor, it will lose all its parliamentary seats (Hulu Langat, Shah Alam, Kota Raja, Sepang) and 14 out of the 15 state seats in Selangor. The Selangor state assembly seats currently held by PAS which are in danger are: Sabak, Taman Templer, Gombak Setia, Hulu Kelang, Lembah Jaya, Cempaka, Dusun Tua, Seri Serdang, Paya Jaras, Meru, Selat Klang, Sijangkang, Morib and Tanjung Sepat. The only Selangor seat PAS may win again will be Bangi.
In Pahang, it will lose two out of three state states, namely Beserah and Tanjung Lumpur.
In Kedah, it will lose the four state assembly seats of Alor Mengkudu, Kubang Rotan, Kuala Ketil and Merbau Pulas.
With a loss of 30 per cent non-Muslim votes, PAS will be left mostly with parliament and state assembly seats in the northern states.
It will retain 14 parliament seats (nine in Kelantan, four in Terengganu and one in Perak). It will retain 54 state seats, 51 of which are in Kedah (five), Kelantan (32) and Terengganu (14) with only three state seats outside these states – one in Pahang, one in Pulau Pinang and one in Selangor.